A young theorist said something like this in a recent talk.
Complexity theorists studied worst-case complexity until the mid-80's
and then have focused on average-case complexity since.
I asked him why he though that and he said that he had given an
earlier talk and said complexity theorists focused only on worst-case
complexity and was told this wasn't true since the mid-80's.
What did happen in the mid-80's? Levin came up with his definition of
average-case complexity classes. Modern cryptography
started to really grow around then with their emphasis on hard on
average assumptions. Results like Nisan-Wigderson connected
average-case hardness with derandomization.
But most of the great work in complexity continued to focus on
worst-case complexity: Circuit lower bounds, nondeterministic space
closed under complement, Toda's theorem, interactive proofs, PCPs,
hardness of approximation results, Primes in P, SL=L and much
more. Even derandomization results are now based on worst-case
hardness.
Why the focus on worst instead of average case? We can't know the
underlying distributions for sure and worst case complexity handles
any distribution.
In crypto they know the underlying distribution since their protocols
create it. But now even in that community you now see a slight move to
base protocols on worst-case assumptions, using average-to-worst case
reductions for lattice-based problems. I worry though that these
average-to-worst case reductions imply less that the average case
complexity of these problems are harder than we expected and more that
the worst case is easier than we thought.
Is "worst case complexity" supposed to appear twice in your quote? (If so, I don't understand how studying the same thing before and after the 80s made you think that something happened in the 80s.)
From a non-theorist point of view, complexity results seem mainly useful as tools for suggesting whether a particular pproach to solving the problem is feasible. For example, it is quite valuable to know when solving an open problem at least whether it is NP-hard, NEXPTIME-hard, non-elementary, or undecidable.
My view of average case complexity was fundamentally shaken after learning that even undecidable problems like the group word problem can have low average case complexity.
I worry though that these average-to-worst case reductions imply less that the average case complexity of these problems are harder than we expected and more that the worst case is easier than we thought.
In a sense, this is exactly right, and even partially understood. For example, the shortest vector problem (SVP) is NP-hard (even to approximate to within any constant). But lattice-based crypto is based on the hardness of approximating SVP to within a factor of, say, n (the dimension of the lattice). This problem is known to be in coNP, so it's "easier" than exact-SVP. Is it still hard for poly-time algorithms? One assumes.....
What examples do we have of problems that are easy from the average-case point of view but hard (provably or otherwise) from the smoothed-analysis point of view ?
What examples do we have of problems that are easy from the average-case point of view but hard (provably or otherwise) from the smoothed-analysis point of view
Despite appearing natural, this is not the right question. In both cases one needs a language or optimization problem and a distribution (in the average case on inputs, in the smoothed case on the perturbation). One can easily pick distributions that "separate" the two - for example, if both distributions are supported on single points the former refers to one input for each input size but the latter can become worst-case complexity.
I have always felt that a good distribution with respect to which one should measure average-case complexity, should come from an application. For example, a good input distribution for various congestion-minimizing routing algorithms could be random preferential attachment graphs.
What examples do we have of problems that are easy from the average-case point of view but hard (provably or otherwise) from the smoothed-analysis point of view ?
Barany, Vempala, and Vetta proved that the average case complexity of two-player Nash equilibrium is polynomial. In contrast, Chen, Deng, Teng proved that if the smoothed complexity of two-player Nash Equilibrium is polynomial, then every PPAD problem can be solved in randomized polynomial-time.